Adaptive Leadership in Complex Environments: Lessons from the Three Block War and Clausewitz

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Most leaders have a preferred leadership style—an approach that feels natural, proven, and familiar. If an approach helped you succeed before, it’s natural to rely on it again. But that comfort can become a liability. The challenge is, people often default to familiar behaviors without even realizing it. In the moment, it’s rarely obvious whether a situation calls for consistency … Read More

How to Make Better Decisions Under Uncertainty: A Simple Guide to Bayesian Thinking

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When facing a big choice — a product bet, a hiring call, or even a career defining decision — our instinct is to gather more information. We tell ourselves: “We just need one more data point. Then we’ll know for sure.” But in complex environments, certainty is a mirage. The variables are too dynamic, the contexts too fluid. And by … Read More